Okay, let’s talk about wild card scenarios. This whole thing started a few months back when I was trying to improve my team’s project planning process. We’re a pretty organized bunch, but you know how it is, there’s always that one unexpected thing that throws everything off track.

So, I’m digging around online, reading all these fancy articles about risk management and scenario planning. And I stumble upon this concept of “wild card scenarios.” Sounds cool, right? Basically, it’s about those low-probability, high-impact events that can totally mess up your plans.
Now, I’m not one to get bogged down by every little unlikely thing that could happen. But the idea of having a plan for the big, scary, unlikely stuff? That got me thinking. So, I decided to give it a try with my team.
First, we did a brainstorm. And let me tell you, getting a bunch of engineers to think about worst-case scenarios is quite a trip. We came up with some doozies. Everything from a sudden market crash to a key team member getting abducted by aliens. I’m not kidding!
Here’s how we did it:
- Identify Potential Wild Cards: We listed out all the crazy, unlikely events that could impact our project.
- Assess the Impact: For each wild card, we talked about how bad it would be if it actually happened.
- Develop a Basic Response Plan: We didn’t go overboard, but we sketched out some basic steps we could take to mitigate the damage.
After we had our list, we took a step back and tried to figure out which of these wild cards, while unlikely, could actually do some serious damage. We’re talking about existential threats to the project, or maybe even the company.

Once we narrowed it down, we started thinking about how we could prepare. Not full-blown, detailed plans, mind you. Just some basic ideas on what we could do if any of these things actually happened.
The whole process was actually pretty fun, and it got us thinking more creatively. And you know what? It turns out that thinking about these wild card scenarios actually helped us come up with some innovative ideas we wouldn’t have considered otherwise.
Did it Work?
Well, none of our wild cards have happened yet, thankfully. But I feel like we’re a bit more prepared. It’s like having a fire extinguisher. You hope you never need it, but it’s good to know it’s there. Plus, the whole exercise made us better at thinking on our feet and adapting to change.
So, that’s my story about wild card scenarios. It was a bit of an experiment, but one that I think paid off. If you’re looking for a way to make your planning process a bit more robust, and maybe even spark some innovation along the way, give it a shot. You might be surprised at what you come up with. And hey, at the very least, you’ll have some interesting stories to tell.